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How to Use our Daily
Market Outlook
for Long-Term Trading:
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The following method may be applied by long-term traders who
have decided to integrate our daily Market Outlook into their
arsenal of predictive tools. This method will suit those traders who
wish to make conservative trades on the major U.S. indexes and index
derivatives.
In the "Market Stage" section of each of our daily Market
Commentaries, we state our long-term outlook for the major indexes.
How to use "Market Stage":
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The prevailing "Market
Stage" can be categorized by the following clearly defined
descriptors: "Uptrend", "Resistance Corridor", "Downtrend", and
"Support Corridor";
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If our analysts find
indications that the market is in a long-term uptrend (defined
as a general market trend that usually persists for several
months) and anticipate that the market will continue to move
higher, they will state this in the Market Stage" section of the
commentaries. If there are indications that the market might
soon reverse to the downside, you would find the terms
"Resistance Corridor" or "Downtrend" in the Market Stage. To
stay in tune with the market, check our Market Stage section
daily to see if any changes have occurred;
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Traders who wish to
short the market can profit from our "downtrend" indications.
However, this method is not suggested for highly conservative
traders;
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When you see the terms
"Resistance Corridor" or "Support Corridor" being used in the
Market Stage section, this implies that our analysts expect the
market to reverse direction in the near future. For long-term
conservative traders, it would be best to remain in a cash
position for the time being.
Recommendations:
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In order to see how
our analysts qualify the market's prevailing long-term status,
consult our daily Market Outlook;
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Never rely exclusively
on the long-term predictions provided in our daily Market
Commentaries. Furthermore, never base your trading decisions
entirely on our commentaries. We recommend using a combination
of market analysis tools and approaches, our commentaries being
just one of several.
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Important: If you trade options, we recommend you invest only a small portion of your assets - an amount that will fit your personal trading needs and risk tolerance. In our opinion, that amount should be about 10% of your total portfolio; it should never exceed 30%. |
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